Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jose Guzman

DET · Single-A · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 22.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,134
Prospect Score54.7
Median52
Performance Signal+19.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 52
58 53 48 2026-08-14 · Median 52 2026-08-16 · Median 52 2026-08-17 · Median 52 2026-08-18 · Median 52 2026-08-19 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 52.1 2026-08-25 · Median 52.1 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2552.1
2026-08-2352.1
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1952
2026-08-1852
2026-08-1752
2026-08-1652
2026-08-1452

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 14
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.6
Projected range25–75
Arrival probability6%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.