Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jose Lopez

NYM · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#4,809
Score28.5
Baseline32
Signal-38.0
Trend0.0
Floor22
Baseline32
Ceiling40
Confidence56 Risk48 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jose Lopez

NYM · Single-A · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#4,809
Prospect Score28.5
Median32
Performance Signal-38.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
223240
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -38.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 32
39 33.5 28 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 34 2026-08-22 · Median 34 2026-08-23 · Median 34.7 2026-08-25 · Median 34.7 2026-08-27 · Median 35 2026-08-28 · Median 35 2026-09-01 · Median 35 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1432
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0635
2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235
2026-09-0135
2026-08-2835
2026-08-2735
2026-08-2534.7
2026-08-2334.7
2026-08-2234
2026-08-2034
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 48
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
223240
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -38.0

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 48
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection33.9
Projected range9–59
Arrival probability2%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.