Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jose Serva

CHC · DSL · P · Age 18

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score52.4#1,372 Overall
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Performance55Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
55Solid current performance
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping48How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection53.4
Projected Range29–78
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 50
54 49.5 45 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.9 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-10-05 · Median 50 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0550
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.9
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250