Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jose Vargas

NYY · DSL · P · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score28.8#4,760 Overall
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Performance35Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
35Developing performance profile
Miss ability6.8 K/9Limited miss signal
Command6.2 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.0 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping38How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping61Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 32
36 31.5 27 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 31.9 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1431.9
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0231