Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Josh Blum

NYM · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

Rank#4,402
Score31.3
Baseline36
Signal-6.8
Trend0.0
Floor24
Baseline36
Ceiling46
Confidence42 Risk70 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Josh Blum

NYM · High-A · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

PB Rank#4,402
Prospect Score31.3
Median36
Performance Signal-6.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
243646
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 36
48 39.5 31 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 44 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 35.6 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-08-14 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1435.6
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2344
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1644
2026-08-1444

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 42
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 70
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
243646
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.8

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 70
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence42
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.6
Projected range14–63
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.