Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Josh Kasevich

TOR · AAA · SS

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 25.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#927
Prospect Score57
Median55
Performance49
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 82th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 11.4%

What could change the read

  • A 0.364 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+32.1 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 82
Game Power-17.2 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 16

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 55
60 52.5 45 2026-06-04 · Median 50 2026-06-05 · Median 50 2026-06-06 · Median 51 2026-06-07 · Median 51 2026-06-08 · Median 51 2026-06-09 · Median 51 2026-06-10 · Median 51 2026-06-11 · Median 51 2026-06-12 · Median 51 2026-06-13 · Median 50 2026-06-14 · Median 50 2026-06-15 · Median 50 2026-06-16 · Median 50 2026-06-17 · Median 50 2026-06-18 · Median 49 2026-06-19 · Median 49 2026-06-20 · Median 49 2026-06-21 · Median 49 2026-06-22 · Median 50 2026-06-23 · Median 50 2026-06-24 · Median 49 2026-06-25 · Median 49 2026-06-26 · Median 49 2026-06-28 · Median 49 2026-06-29 · Median 49 2026-06-30 · Median 49 2026-07-01 · Median 50 2026-07-03 · Median 52 2026-07-05 · Median 52 2026-07-07 · Median 52 2026-07-09 · Median 53 2026-07-11 · Median 52 2026-07-12 · Median 53 2026-07-14 · Median 53 2026-07-16 · Median 53 2026-07-21 · Median 54 2026-07-22 · Median 54 2026-07-23 · Median 54 2026-07-24 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 52.1 2026-08-25 · Median 52.1 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.6 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.6
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2552.1
2026-08-2352.1
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-07-2455
2026-07-2354
2026-07-2254
2026-07-2154
2026-07-1653
2026-07-1453
2026-07-1253
2026-07-1152
2026-07-0953
2026-07-0752
2026-07-0552
2026-07-0352
2026-07-0150
2026-06-3049
2026-06-2949
2026-06-2849
2026-06-2649
2026-06-2549
2026-06-2449
2026-06-2350
2026-06-2250
2026-06-2149
2026-06-2049
2026-06-1949
2026-06-1849
2026-06-1750
2026-06-1650
2026-06-1550
2026-06-1450
2026-06-1350
2026-06-1251
2026-06-1151
2026-06-1051
2026-06-0951
2026-06-0851
2026-06-0751
2026-06-0651
2026-06-0550
2026-06-0450

Metrics to follow

K% 11.4%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 10.1%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.364

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G130
PA572
AVG.282
OBP.364
SLG.363
OPS.727
HR4
SB8
BB%10.1%
K%11.4%

Buffalo Bisons · AAA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
505559
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 49

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 16
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence92
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.3
Historical 80% error band23–58
MLB arrival in 3 years49%
Productive MLB role in 3 years4%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels295100001400.000.444.000.444
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels15635351120031091.208.333.245.579
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Buffalo BisonsAAA1305725047714223344758658.282.364.363.727
2025Buffalo BisonsAAA2911498617100613200.173.272.184.456
2025Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A72724291003330.375.444.417.861
2025FCL Blue JaysFCL61914050003510.357.526.357.883
20253 teams · TotalAll levels421601368312001221240.228.331.243.574
2024Buffalo BisonsAAA4117315723518032314253.325.382.433.815
2024New Hampshire Fisher CatsAA8739336351103200341264210.284.333.364.697
20242 teams · TotalAll levels12856652074154280664406713.296.348.385.733
2023Vancouver CanadiansHigh-A943833344695150450384111.284.363.365.728
2022Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A25122107182880071190.262.344.336.681

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Toronto Blue Jays profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.