Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Josh Knoth

MIL · AA · P · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score71.7#161 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance59Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
59Solid current performance
Miss ability8.9 K/9Near expected range
Command3.6 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.28 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball55
Slider60
Curveball60
Changeup40
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.1
Projected Range22–68
Arrival Probability32%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationMilwaukee Brewers
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 67
71 62.5 54 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 66.6 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0567
2026-10-0467
2026-10-0367
2026-09-3067
2026-09-2967
2026-09-2567
2026-09-2467
2026-09-2267
2026-09-2167
2026-09-1967
2026-09-1867
2026-09-1767
2026-09-1667
2026-09-1567
2026-09-1466.6
2026-09-0966
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258