Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Josh Moylan

NYY · AA · 1B

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,901
Prospect Score48.4
Median48
Performance Signal-10.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 48
52 46.5 41 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45.8 2026-08-25 · Median 45.8 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.9 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.9
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2545.8
2026-08-2345.8
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646
2026-08-1447

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 26
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 26
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection29.1
Projected range12–46
Arrival probability41%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.