Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Josh Wakefield

HOU · Single-A · OF

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,070
Prospect Score47.2
Median44
Performance Signal-2.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
374451
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 44
48 43 38 2026-08-10 · Median 43 2026-08-11 · Median 43 2026-08-13 · Median 43 2026-08-14 · Median 43 2026-08-16 · Median 43 2026-08-17 · Median 43 2026-08-18 · Median 43 2026-08-19 · Median 43 2026-08-20 · Median 43.5 2026-08-27 · Median 42 2026-08-28 · Median 42 2026-09-01 · Median 42 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 42 2026-09-09 · Median 43 2026-09-14 · Median 42.9 2026-09-15 · Median 43 2026-09-16 · Median 43 2026-09-17 · Median 43 2026-09-18 · Median 43 2026-09-19 · Median 43 2026-09-21 · Median 43 2026-09-22 · Median 43 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 44 2026-09-30 · Median 44 2026-10-03 · Median 44 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0344
2026-09-3044
2026-09-2944
2026-09-2544
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2243
2026-09-2143
2026-09-1943
2026-09-1843
2026-09-1743
2026-09-1643
2026-09-1543
2026-09-1442.9
2026-09-0943
2026-09-0642
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0242
2026-09-0142
2026-08-2842
2026-08-2742
2026-08-2043.5
2026-08-1943
2026-08-1843
2026-08-1743
2026-08-1643
2026-08-1443
2026-08-1343
2026-08-1143
2026-08-1043

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
374451
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.4
Projected range24–55
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.