Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET
Player profile

Joshua Báez

STL · AAA · RF Roster status pending

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#101
Prospect Score74
Median70
Performance60
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 60; game-power evidence sits near the 98th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.317

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-19.1 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 31
Game Power+31.8 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 99

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 72 Latest recorded 70
78 72 66 2026-06-04 · Median 72 2026-06-05 · Median 71 2026-06-06 · Median 71 2026-06-07 · Median 70 2026-06-08 · Median 71 2026-06-09 · Median 71 2026-06-10 · Median 70 2026-06-11 · Median 70 2026-06-12 · Median 70 2026-06-13 · Median 70 2026-06-14 · Median 70 2026-06-15 · Median 70 2026-06-16 · Median 70 2026-06-17 · Median 72 2026-06-18 · Median 71 2026-06-19 · Median 72 2026-06-20 · Median 73 2026-06-21 · Median 72 2026-06-22 · Median 72 2026-06-23 · Median 72 2026-06-24 · Median 72 2026-06-25 · Median 74 2026-06-26 · Median 73 2026-06-28 · Median 70 2026-06-29 · Median 70 2026-06-30 · Median 70 2026-07-01 · Median 70 2026-07-03 · Median 71 2026-07-05 · Median 71 2026-07-07 · Median 71 2026-07-09 · Median 70 2026-07-11 · Median 70 2026-07-12 · Median 70 2026-07-14 · Median 70 2026-07-16 · Median 70 2026-07-21 · Median 70 2026-07-22 · Median 70 2026-07-23 · Median 70 2026-07-24 · Median 74 2026-09-18 · Median 70 2026-06-04 2026-09-18

2026-09-18 · Median 70

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-1870
2026-07-2474
2026-07-2370
2026-07-2270
2026-07-2170
2026-07-1670
2026-07-1470
2026-07-1270
2026-07-1170
2026-07-0970
2026-07-0771
2026-07-0571
2026-07-0371
2026-07-0170
2026-06-3070
2026-06-2970
2026-06-2870
2026-06-2673
2026-06-2574
2026-06-2472
2026-06-2372
2026-06-2272
2026-06-2172
2026-06-2073
2026-06-1972
2026-06-1871
2026-06-1772
2026-06-1670
2026-06-1570
2026-06-1470
2026-06-1370
2026-06-1270
2026-06-1170
2026-06-1070
2026-06-0971
2026-06-0871
2026-06-0770
2026-06-0671
2026-06-0571
2026-06-0472

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.317

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.573

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 29.5%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Latest recorded regular season
G103
PA461
AVG.256
OBP.328
SLG.573
OPS.901
HR34
SB21
BB%8.0%
K%29.5%

Memphis Redbirds · AAA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.5%
667075
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 60

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #58 MLB Top 100
Confidence95
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production42.7
Historical 80% error band25–60
MLB arrival in 3 years89%
Productive MLB role in 3 years30%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power60Above Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Memphis RedbirdsAAA1034614107910522334903713621.256.328.573.901
2025Springfield CardinalsAA7933127346741511655416734.271.374.509.883
2025Peoria ChiefsHigh-A38168145324682424183620.317.404.483.886
20252 teams · TotalAll levels1174994187812023320795910354.287.384.500.884
2024Peoria ChiefsHigh-A712602272751701030249719.225.306.388.694
2024Palm Beach CardinalsSingle-A1561508175011181710.340.459.500.959
20242 teams · TotalAll levels86321277356812011413211429.245.335.408.743
2023Palm Beach CardinalsSingle-A9135829854652047364512230.218.341.383.723
2022Palm Beach CardinalsSingle-A20796311185131611304.286.418.540.957
2022FCL CardinalsFCL1243384930155146.237.326.395.720
20222 teams · TotalAll levels32122101152781421164410.267.385.485.870
2021FCL CardinalsFCL2395761812312814285.158.305.303.608

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-18T16:30:09.

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.