Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Josiah Ragsdale

STL · AA · OF · Age 23

Bats L · Throws L
PB Rank#136 OverallCurrent model ranking
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Trend0.0Stable
Confidence92Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor64Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why He Stands Out

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
66Solid current performance
Offensive impact.954 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact25.8% KNear expected range
Approach16.4% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit45
Power50
Run70
Field55
Arm40

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreSolid73Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.6
Projected Range33–68
Arrival Probability85%
Productive Role Probability34%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelAA
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 72 Latest recorded 67
77 70 63 2026-09-02 · Median 72 2026-09-03 · Median 73 2026-09-05 · Median 73 2026-09-06 · Median 73 2026-09-09 · Median 70 2026-09-14 · Median 67.9 2026-09-15 · Median 68 2026-09-16 · Median 68 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0567
2026-10-0467
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2026-09-1467.9
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