Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

JT Quinn

BAL · AA · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score71.0#177 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance62Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
62Solid current performance
Miss ability10.0 K/9Near expected range
Dominance18.5% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Contact management1.3 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball60
Slider55
Curveball40
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh88How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.5
Projected Range29–74
Arrival Probability47%
Productive Role Probability7%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 66
71 62.5 54 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 66.5 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0566
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2026-09-1466.5
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