Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Juan Amarante

PHI · High-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,012
Prospect Score56.0
Median53
Performance Signal+8.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 53
59 54 49 2026-08-14 · Median 55 2026-08-16 · Median 55 2026-08-17 · Median 55 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 54.7 2026-08-25 · Median 54.7 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.5 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.5
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2554.7
2026-08-2354.7
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1955
2026-08-1855
2026-08-1755
2026-08-1655
2026-08-1455

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.3
Projected range20–69
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.