Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Juan Cabada

CHC · Single-A · IF · Age 18

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score66.4#321 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance52Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor54Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit55
Power45
Run55
Field45
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh85How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.9
Projected Range21–57
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelSingle-A
PositionIF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 67 Latest recorded 62
71 64 57 2026-09-02 · Median 67 2026-09-03 · Median 67 2026-09-05 · Median 67 2026-09-06 · Median 66 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 61.4 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
2026-10-0362
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2026-09-1461.4
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2026-09-0567
2026-09-0367
2026-09-0267