Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Juan Caricote

TOR · DSL · C

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 17.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,009
Prospect Score56.0
Median55
Performance Signal+6.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 55
60 50 40 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 46.1 2026-08-25 · Median 46.1 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.5 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1455.5
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2546.1
2026-08-2346.1
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1644
2026-08-1446

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 84
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +6.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence84
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.5
Projected range21–58
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.