Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Juan Fraide

HOU · Single-A · P · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score65.4#365 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance63Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor55Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
63Solid current performance
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance19.8% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.09 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection52.6
Projected Range28–77
Arrival Probability17%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 61
66 61.5 57 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.6 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-10-05 · Median 61 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0561
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2962
2026-09-2562
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1762
2026-09-1662
2026-09-1562
2026-09-1461.6
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0261