Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Juan Parra

PHI · DSL · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#471
Score63.1
Baseline61
Signal+21.9
Trend0.0
Floor55
Baseline61
Ceiling67
Confidence85 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Juan Parra

PHI · DSL · SS

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 17.8 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#471
Prospect Score63.1
Median61
Performance Signal+21.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556167
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +21.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 61
65 58 51 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 55.4 2026-08-25 · Median 55.4 2026-08-27 · Median 61 2026-08-28 · Median 61 2026-09-01 · Median 61 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.8 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.8
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0261
2026-09-0161
2026-08-2861
2026-08-2761
2026-08-2555.4
2026-08-2355.4
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1955
2026-08-1855
2026-08-1756
2026-08-1656

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 85
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556167
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +21.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence85
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.1
Projected range33–69
Arrival probability15%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.