Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Juan Reyes

WSH · Single-A · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 21.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#578
Prospect Score61.7
Median58
Performance Signal+23.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 58
62 55.5 49 2026-08-14 · Median 54 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 53.8 2026-08-25 · Median 53.8 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 57.8 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1457.8
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2553.8
2026-08-2353.8
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654
2026-08-1454

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +23.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection53.7
Projected range29–79
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.