Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Juan Reynoso

MIA · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#788
Score58.7
Baseline57
Signal-1.5
Trend-0.2
Floor50
Baseline57
Ceiling63
Confidence62 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Juan Reynoso

MIA · AA · P

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#788
Prospect Score58.7
Median57
Performance Signal-1.5
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
505763
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 57
62 53 44 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 48.9 2026-08-25 · Median 48.9 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 57.3 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0457
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1457.3
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2548.9
2026-08-2348.9
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
505763
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -1.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.6
Projected range16–65
Arrival probability31%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.