Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Juan Tomas

CHC · Single-A · SS

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 18.8 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#433
Prospect Score64.0
Median61
Performance Signal+15.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556167
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +15.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 61
65 53.5 42 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.7 2026-08-25 · Median 46.7 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 61 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2561
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1461
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2546.7
2026-08-2346.7
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647
2026-08-1447

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 88
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 19
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556167
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +15.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 19
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence88
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.7
Projected range18–55
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.