Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Julio Rodriguez

HOU · AAA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score35.5#3,786 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling46High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.3 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.6 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.58 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid57How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid45Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.9
Projected Range17–67
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 37
41 35 29 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 36.3 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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