Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Justin Campbell

CLE · AAA · P · Age 26

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score68.5#241 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance63Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor59Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling66High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
63Solid current performance
Miss ability10.8 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.3 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Fastball55
Slider50
Curveball55
Changeup60
Control55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh1Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.2
Projected Range27–76
Arrival Probability49%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationCleveland Guardians
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 62
68 61.5 55 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 61.9 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
2026-10-0362
2026-09-3062
2026-09-2962
2026-09-2562
2026-09-2462
2026-09-2262
2026-09-2162
2026-09-1962
2026-09-1862
2026-09-1762
2026-09-1662
2026-09-1562
2026-09-1461.9
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0261