Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Justin Lebron

CIN · High-A · SS

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 21.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#469
Prospect Score63.2
Median63
Performance Signal+4.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556371
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 63
67 59 51 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 57.1 2026-08-25 · Median 57.1 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 61 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.9 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-08-20 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
2026-09-2963
2026-09-2563
2026-09-2463
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
2026-09-1663
2026-09-1563
2026-09-1462.9
2026-09-0963
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263
2026-09-0163
2026-08-2861
2026-08-2760
2026-08-2557.1
2026-08-2357.1
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2055

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 4
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556371
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 4
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence54
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.0
Projected range24–60
Arrival probability9%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.