Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Justin Yeager

TB · AAA · P · Age 29

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score16.2#6,200 Overall
Baseline20Most likely outcome
Performance28Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline20Most likely outcome
Ceiling28High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
28Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.2 K/9Near expected range
Command5.5 BB/9Command risk
Contact management2.8 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping52Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.3
Projected Range13–62
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 14 Latest recorded 20 Change +5.6
25 17.5 10 2026-09-02 · Median 14.4 2026-09-03 · Median 14.4 2026-09-05 · Median 14.4 2026-09-06 · Median 14.4 2026-09-09 · Median 19.3 2026-09-14 · Median 19.3 2026-09-15 · Median 20.1 2026-09-16 · Median 20 2026-09-17 · Median 20 2026-09-18 · Median 20 2026-09-19 · Median 20 2026-09-21 · Median 20 2026-09-22 · Median 20 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 20 2026-09-29 · Median 20 2026-09-30 · Median 20 2026-10-03 · Median 20 2026-10-04 · Median 20 2026-10-05 · Median 20 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 20

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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