Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Kala'i Rosario

MIN · AAA · RF · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score62.8#486 Overall
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor54Lower-end outcome
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Power.220 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact30.9% KContact risk
Approach12.8% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit40
Power55
Run45
Field45
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.9
Projected Range22–56
Arrival Probability66%
Productive Role Probability11%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelAAA
PositionRF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 58
68 61 54 2026-09-02 · Median 64 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 60.1 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-10-05 · Median 58 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0558
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0359
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2026-09-0562
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2026-09-0264