Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Kaleb Bowman

MIL · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,373
Score12.2
Baseline16
Signal-42.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline16
Ceiling26
Confidence60 Risk54 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Kaleb Bowman

MIL · AAA · P

Milwaukee Brewers · Age at assessment: 29.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,373
Prospect Score12.2
Median16
Performance Signal-42.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
201626
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -42.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 12 Latest recorded 16
22 15 8 2026-06-25 · Median 12 2026-06-26 · Median 12 2026-07-23 · Median 18 2026-07-24 · Median 17 2026-08-20 · Median 15 2026-08-22 · Median 15 2026-08-23 · Median 14.8 2026-08-25 · Median 14.8 2026-08-27 · Median 14.8 2026-08-28 · Median 14.8 2026-09-01 · Median 14.8 2026-09-02 · Median 14.8 2026-09-03 · Median 14.5 2026-09-05 · Median 14.5 2026-09-06 · Median 14.5 2026-09-09 · Median 16.7 2026-09-14 · Median 16.5 2026-09-15 · Median 16.5 2026-09-16 · Median 17 2026-09-17 · Median 17 2026-09-18 · Median 16 2026-09-19 · Median 16 2026-09-21 · Median 16 2026-09-22 · Median 16 2026-09-24 · Median 16 2026-09-25 · Median 16 2026-09-29 · Median 16 2026-09-30 · Median 16 2026-10-03 · Median 16 2026-10-04 · Median 16 2026-06-25 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 16

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0416
2026-10-0316
2026-09-3016
2026-09-2916
2026-09-2516
2026-09-2416
2026-09-2216
2026-09-2116
2026-09-1916
2026-09-1816
2026-09-1717
2026-09-1617
2026-09-1516.5
2026-09-1416.5
2026-09-0916.7
2026-09-0614.5
2026-09-0514.5
2026-09-0314.5
2026-09-0214.8
2026-09-0114.8
2026-08-2814.8
2026-08-2714.8
2026-08-2514.8
2026-08-2314.8
2026-08-2215
2026-08-2015
2026-07-2417
2026-07-2318
2026-06-2612
2026-06-2512

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
201626
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -42.0

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 54
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.0
Projected range9–59
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.