Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Kane Kepley

CHC · AA · OF

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#133
Prospect Score73
Median67
Performance64
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 30; game-power evidence sits near the 46th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.158

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+10.3 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 77
Game Power+29.6 percentile gap
Expected 17 Observed 46

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 67
77 61 45 2026-06-04 · Median 59 2026-06-05 · Median 59 2026-06-06 · Median 59 2026-06-07 · Median 59 2026-06-08 · Median 59 2026-06-09 · Median 59 2026-06-10 · Median 61 2026-06-11 · Median 62 2026-06-12 · Median 61 2026-06-13 · Median 61 2026-06-14 · Median 60 2026-06-15 · Median 60 2026-06-16 · Median 60 2026-06-17 · Median 59 2026-06-18 · Median 59 2026-06-19 · Median 58 2026-06-20 · Median 59 2026-06-21 · Median 60 2026-06-22 · Median 60 2026-06-23 · Median 60 2026-06-24 · Median 60 2026-06-25 · Median 60 2026-06-26 · Median 60 2026-06-28 · Median 60 2026-06-29 · Median 61 2026-06-30 · Median 62 2026-07-01 · Median 62 2026-07-03 · Median 63 2026-07-05 · Median 64 2026-07-07 · Median 62 2026-07-09 · Median 61 2026-07-11 · Median 60 2026-07-12 · Median 60 2026-07-14 · Median 61 2026-07-16 · Median 61 2026-07-21 · Median 60 2026-07-22 · Median 61 2026-07-23 · Median 60 2026-07-24 · Median 60 2026-07-25 · Median 61 2026-07-26 · Median 61 2026-07-27 · Median 61 2026-07-28 · Median 60 2026-07-29 · Median 60 2026-07-30 · Median 61 2026-07-31 · Median 61 2026-08-01 · Median 61 2026-08-03 · Median 61 2026-08-05 · Median 49 2026-08-07 · Median 49 2026-08-08 · Median 56 2026-08-09 · Median 56 2026-08-10 · Median 60 2026-08-11 · Median 60 2026-08-13 · Median 57 2026-08-14 · Median 57 2026-08-16 · Median 60 2026-08-17 · Median 60 2026-08-18 · Median 60 2026-08-19 · Median 60 2026-08-20 · Median 69 2026-08-22 · Median 70 2026-08-23 · Median 71.1 2026-08-25 · Median 71.1 2026-08-27 · Median 73 2026-08-28 · Median 72 2026-09-01 · Median 66 2026-09-02 · Median 67 2026-09-03 · Median 65 2026-09-05 · Median 65 2026-09-06 · Median 65 2026-09-09 · Median 68 2026-09-14 · Median 67.5 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2467
2026-09-2267
2026-09-2167
2026-09-1967
2026-09-1867
2026-09-1767
2026-09-1667
2026-09-1567
2026-09-1467.5
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2026-09-0267
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2026-08-2872
2026-08-2773
2026-08-2571.1
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2026-08-2270
2026-08-2069
2026-08-1960
2026-08-1860
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2026-08-0956
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2026-08-0749
2026-08-0549
2026-08-0361
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2026-07-3161
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2026-06-0759
2026-06-0659
2026-06-0559
2026-06-0459

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.158

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.401

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 15.0%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G125
PA595
AVG.243
OBP.422
SLG.401
OPS.823
HR10
SB70
BB%20.2%
K%15.0%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
646772
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 64

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch70 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence92
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production62.1
Historical 80% error band45–79
MLB arrival in 3 years91%
Productive MLB role in 3 years37%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit60Above Avg
Power icon
Power30Developmental
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense60Above Avg
Arm icon
Arm40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Contact Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels17746461011038149.156.270.203.473
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Knoxville SmokiesAA32144113222442316242320.212.382.363.745
2026South Bend CubsHigh-A9345133110584187754966650.254.435.414.849
20262 teams · TotalAll levels12559544412710822910701208970.243.422.401.823
2025Myrtle Beach PelicansSingle-A2813197282913215251516.299.481.433.914

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Chicago Cubs profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.