Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Keith Jones II

TEX · AA · LF · Age 24

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score49.8#1,712 Overall
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor40Lower-end outcome
Baseline47Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.716 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact26.8% KNear expected range
Approach13.5% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range21–55
Arrival Probability22%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelAA
PositionLF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 47
51 46 41 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.8 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-10-05 · Median 47 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0547
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
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2026-09-1546
2026-09-1445.8
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247