Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Kelvin Alcantara

SEA · Single-A · CF

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 21.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#668
Prospect Score60.2
Median57
Performance Signal+20.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +20.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 57
61 52 43 2026-08-14 · Median 48 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 47.9 2026-08-25 · Median 47.9 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 56.7 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.7
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2547.9
2026-08-2347.9
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648
2026-08-1448

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +20.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.6
Projected range21–58
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.