Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Kelvin Silva

SF · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,227
Score15.7
Baseline27
Signal-5.5
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline27
Ceiling42
Confidence31 Risk96 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Kelvin Silva

SF · DSL · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 20.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,227
Prospect Score15.7
Median27
Performance Signal-5.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202742
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 27
35 29 23 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 27 2026-08-22 · Median 27 2026-08-23 · Median 27.5 2026-08-25 · Median 27.2 2026-08-27 · Median 27.2 2026-08-28 · Median 27.2 2026-09-01 · Median 27.2 2026-09-02 · Median 27.2 2026-09-03 · Median 27.2 2026-09-05 · Median 27.2 2026-09-06 · Median 27.2 2026-09-09 · Median 27.2 2026-09-14 · Median 27.2 2026-09-15 · Median 27.2 2026-09-16 · Median 27 2026-09-17 · Median 27 2026-09-18 · Median 27 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 27 2026-09-25 · Median 27 2026-09-29 · Median 27 2026-09-30 · Median 27 2026-10-03 · Median 27 2026-10-04 · Median 27 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 27

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0427
2026-10-0327
2026-09-3027
2026-09-2927
2026-09-2527
2026-09-2427
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1827
2026-09-1727
2026-09-1627
2026-09-1527.2
2026-09-1427.2
2026-09-0927.2
2026-09-0627.2
2026-09-0527.2
2026-09-0327.2
2026-09-0227.2
2026-09-0127.2
2026-08-2827.2
2026-08-2727.2
2026-08-2527.2
2026-08-2327.5
2026-08-2227
2026-08-2027
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
2026-08-1631

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 31
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 96
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202742
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.5

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 96
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence31
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.