Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Kelvis Salcedo

DET · Single-A · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 20.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 89%
PB Rank#111
Prospect Score74
Median70
Performance70
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 40; command evidence sits near the 90th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 2.5

What could change the read

  • A 14.0 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+37.2 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 96
Command+56.7 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 90

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 70
75 56 37 2026-06-04 · Median 57 2026-06-05 · Median 57 2026-06-06 · Median 57 2026-06-07 · Median 57 2026-06-08 · Median 57 2026-06-09 · Median 57 2026-06-10 · Median 57 2026-06-11 · Median 57.3 2026-07-23 · Median 45 2026-07-24 · Median 45 2026-07-25 · Median 41 2026-07-26 · Median 41 2026-07-27 · Median 41 2026-07-28 · Median 41 2026-07-29 · Median 41 2026-07-30 · Median 41 2026-07-31 · Median 41 2026-08-01 · Median 41 2026-08-03 · Median 41 2026-08-05 · Median 41 2026-08-07 · Median 41 2026-08-08 · Median 41 2026-08-09 · Median 41 2026-08-10 · Median 41 2026-08-11 · Median 41 2026-08-13 · Median 41 2026-08-14 · Median 41 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 53.3 2026-08-25 · Median 53.3 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 71 2026-09-14 · Median 70.6 2026-09-15 · Median 71 2026-09-16 · Median 71 2026-09-17 · Median 71 2026-09-18 · Median 70 2026-09-19 · Median 70 2026-09-21 · Median 70 2026-09-22 · Median 70 2026-09-24 · Median 70 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 70

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2470
2026-09-2270
2026-09-2170
2026-09-1970
2026-09-1870
2026-09-1771
2026-09-1671
2026-09-1571
2026-09-1470.6
2026-09-0971
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2553.3
2026-08-2353.3
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1941
2026-08-1841
2026-08-1741
2026-08-1641
2026-08-1441
2026-08-1341
2026-08-1141
2026-08-1041
2026-08-0941
2026-08-0841
2026-08-0741
2026-08-0541
2026-08-0341
2026-08-0141
2026-07-3141
2026-07-3041
2026-07-2941
2026-07-2841
2026-07-2741
2026-07-2641
2026-07-2541
2026-07-2445
2026-07-2345
2026-06-1157.3
2026-06-1057
2026-06-0957
2026-06-0857
2026-06-0757
2026-06-0657
2026-06-0557
2026-06-0457

Metrics to follow

BB/9 2.5

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.10

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 30.3%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G13
IP36.2
ERA3.44
WHIP1.12
K/914.0
BB/92.5
K-BB%30.3%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
657075
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 70

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch71 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence85
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production56.0
Historical 80% error band31–81
MLB arrival in 3 years11%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Splitter icon
Splitter55Avg
Command icon
Control40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderSplitterCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Arsenal

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels001.002209.083102161.1116.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Lakeland Flying TigersSingle-A033.531210035.2311714310541.1513.63
2026FCL TigersFCL000.001101.00000030.0027.00
20262 teams · TotalAll levels033.441311036.2311714310571.1213.99
2025Lakeland Flying TigersSingle-A001.5462023.184426320.6012.34
2025FCL TigersFCL401.99128045.1221210119530.9010.52
20252 teams · TotalAll levels401.831810068.2301614325850.8011.14
2024DSL Tigers 2DSL223.931211050.1473122318611.2910.91
2023DSL Tigers 2DSL206.20142024.2262017012321.5411.68

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Detroit Tigers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.