Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Kemp Alderman

MIA · AAA · RF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#515
Score62.3
Baseline60
Signal-8.3
Trend+0.2
Floor55
Baseline60
Ceiling65
Confidence94 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Kemp Alderman

MIA · AAA · RF

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#515
Prospect Score62.3
Median60
Performance Signal-8.3
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
556065
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 60 Latest recorded 60
65 59 53 2026-07-21 · Median 60 2026-07-22 · Median 60 2026-07-23 · Median 60 2026-07-24 · Median 59 2026-08-20 · Median 58 2026-08-22 · Median 58 2026-08-23 · Median 57.4 2026-08-25 · Median 57.4 2026-08-27 · Median 61 2026-08-28 · Median 61 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0460
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1460
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0660
2026-09-0560
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260
2026-09-0160
2026-08-2861
2026-08-2761
2026-08-2557.4
2026-08-2357.4
2026-08-2258
2026-08-2058
2026-07-2459
2026-07-2360
2026-07-2260
2026-07-2160

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 94
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
556065
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence94
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection30.6
Projected range13–48
Arrival probability48%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.