Player Profile
Kevin Alvarez
HOU · Single-A · CF · Age 19
Bats L · Throws LProspect Score72.5#138 Overall
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor64Lower-end outcome
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Ceiling75High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.
Performance
Selected evidence56Solid current performance
Power.168 ISONear expected range
Contact18.5% KStrong contact signal
Approach9.9% BBNear expected range
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.9
Projected Range29–60
Arrival Probability46%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelSingle-A
PositionCF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 69
Latest recorded 69
2026-10-05 · Median 69
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 69 |
| 2026-10-04 | 69 |
| 2026-10-03 | 69 |
| 2026-09-30 | 69 |
| 2026-09-29 | 69 |
| 2026-09-25 | 69 |
| 2026-09-24 | 69 |
| 2026-09-22 | 69 |
| 2026-09-21 | 69 |
| 2026-09-19 | 69 |
| 2026-09-18 | 69 |
| 2026-09-17 | 69 |
| 2026-09-16 | 69 |
| 2026-09-15 | 69 |
| 2026-09-14 | 69.3 |
| 2026-09-09 | 69 |
| 2026-09-06 | 69 |
| 2026-09-05 | 69 |
| 2026-09-03 | 69 |
| 2026-09-02 | 69 |