Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Xavier Neyens

HOU · High-A · SS · Age 20

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score71.7#159 Overall
Baseline70Most likely outcome
Performance61Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor64Lower-end outcome
Baseline70Most likely outcome
Ceiling76High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
61Solid current performance
Power.214 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact33.3% KContact risk
Approach24.5% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall55
Hit45
Power65
Run45
Field50
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh19Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.9
Projected Range36–67
Arrival Probability57%
Productive Role Probability17%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 69 Latest recorded 70
74 69.5 65 2026-09-02 · Median 69 2026-09-03 · Median 69 2026-09-05 · Median 69 2026-09-06 · Median 69 2026-09-09 · Median 70 2026-09-14 · Median 69.7 2026-09-15 · Median 70 2026-09-16 · Median 70 2026-09-17 · Median 70 2026-09-18 · Median 70 2026-09-19 · Median 70 2026-09-21 · Median 70 2026-09-22 · Median 70 2026-09-24 · Median 70 2026-09-25 · Median 70 2026-09-29 · Median 70 2026-09-30 · Median 70 2026-10-03 · Median 70 2026-10-04 · Median 70 2026-10-05 · Median 70 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 70

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0570
2026-10-0470
2026-10-0370
2026-09-3070
2026-09-2970
2026-09-2570
2026-09-2470
2026-09-2270
2026-09-2170
2026-09-1970
2026-09-1870
2026-09-1770
2026-09-1670
2026-09-1570
2026-09-1469.7
2026-09-0970
2026-09-0669
2026-09-0569
2026-09-0369
2026-09-0269