Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Kevin Alvarez

HOU · Single-A · CF

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 18.7 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Tools Translating
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#140
Prospect Score72
Median69
Performance56
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 55; game-power evidence sits near the 68th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.168

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-7.2 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 60
Game Power+9.2 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 68

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 70 Latest recorded 69
74 69.5 65 2026-06-04 · Median 70 2026-06-05 · Median 70 2026-06-06 · Median 70 2026-06-07 · Median 70 2026-06-08 · Median 70 2026-06-09 · Median 70 2026-06-10 · Median 70 2026-06-11 · Median 70 2026-06-12 · Median 70 2026-06-13 · Median 70 2026-06-14 · Median 70 2026-06-15 · Median 70 2026-06-16 · Median 70 2026-06-17 · Median 70 2026-06-18 · Median 70 2026-06-19 · Median 70 2026-06-20 · Median 70 2026-06-21 · Median 70 2026-06-22 · Median 70 2026-06-23 · Median 70 2026-06-24 · Median 70 2026-06-25 · Median 70 2026-06-26 · Median 70 2026-06-28 · Median 70 2026-06-29 · Median 70 2026-06-30 · Median 70 2026-07-01 · Median 70 2026-07-03 · Median 69 2026-07-05 · Median 69 2026-07-07 · Median 69 2026-07-09 · Median 69 2026-07-11 · Median 69 2026-07-12 · Median 69 2026-07-14 · Median 69 2026-07-16 · Median 69 2026-07-21 · Median 69 2026-07-22 · Median 69 2026-07-23 · Median 69 2026-07-24 · Median 69 2026-07-25 · Median 69 2026-07-26 · Median 69 2026-07-27 · Median 69 2026-07-28 · Median 69 2026-07-29 · Median 69 2026-07-30 · Median 70 2026-07-31 · Median 70 2026-08-01 · Median 70 2026-08-03 · Median 70 2026-08-05 · Median 70 2026-08-07 · Median 70 2026-08-08 · Median 69 2026-08-09 · Median 69 2026-08-10 · Median 69 2026-08-11 · Median 69 2026-08-13 · Median 69 2026-08-14 · Median 69 2026-08-16 · Median 69 2026-08-17 · Median 69 2026-08-18 · Median 69 2026-08-19 · Median 69 2026-08-20 · Median 69 2026-08-22 · Median 69 2026-08-23 · Median 69.4 2026-08-25 · Median 69.4 2026-08-27 · Median 70 2026-08-28 · Median 70 2026-09-01 · Median 69 2026-09-02 · Median 69 2026-09-03 · Median 69 2026-09-05 · Median 69 2026-09-06 · Median 69 2026-09-09 · Median 69 2026-09-14 · Median 69.3 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 69 2026-09-22 · Median 69 2026-09-24 · Median 69 2026-09-25 · Median 69 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 69

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2569
2026-09-2469
2026-09-2269
2026-09-2169
2026-09-1969
2026-09-1869
2026-09-1769
2026-09-1669
2026-09-1569
2026-09-1469.3
2026-09-0969
2026-09-0669
2026-09-0569
2026-09-0369
2026-09-0269
2026-09-0169
2026-08-2870
2026-08-2770
2026-08-2569.4
2026-08-2369.4
2026-08-2269
2026-08-2069
2026-08-1969
2026-08-1869
2026-08-1769
2026-08-1669
2026-08-1469
2026-08-1369
2026-08-1169
2026-08-1069
2026-08-0969
2026-08-0869
2026-08-0770
2026-08-0570
2026-08-0370
2026-08-0170
2026-07-3170
2026-07-3070
2026-07-2969
2026-07-2869
2026-07-2769
2026-07-2669
2026-07-2569
2026-07-2469
2026-07-2369
2026-07-2269
2026-07-2169
2026-07-1669
2026-07-1469
2026-07-1269
2026-07-1169
2026-07-0969
2026-07-0769
2026-07-0569
2026-07-0369
2026-07-0170
2026-06-3070
2026-06-2970
2026-06-2870
2026-06-2670
2026-06-2570
2026-06-2470
2026-06-2370
2026-06-2270
2026-06-2170
2026-06-2070
2026-06-1970
2026-06-1870
2026-06-1770
2026-06-1670
2026-06-1570
2026-06-1470
2026-06-1370
2026-06-1270
2026-06-1170
2026-06-1070
2026-06-0970
2026-06-0870
2026-06-0770
2026-06-0670
2026-06-0570
2026-06-0470

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.168

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.429

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 18.5%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G99
PA443
AVG.261
OBP.343
SLG.429
OPS.772
HR11
SB17
BB%9.9%
K%18.5%

Fayetteville Woodpeckers · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
646975
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 56

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
MLB / Model WatchMLB #79 MLB Top 100
Confidence91
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production44.9
Historical 80% error band29–60
MLB arrival in 3 years46%
Productive MLB role in 3 years10%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit60Above Avg
Power icon
Power55Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Contact Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels728261500021100.192.214.192.407
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A99443387691012631157448217.261.343.429.772
2025DSL Astros BlueDSL471921563147123233231911.301.419.455.874

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Houston Astros profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.