Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Kolten Smith

MIN · High-A · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 22.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,859
Prospect Score48.7
Median48
Performance Signal-7.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 48
53 45 37 2026-08-14 · Median 48 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 47.4 2026-08-25 · Median 46 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 41 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.6 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.6
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0541
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2546
2026-08-2347.4
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1448

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.1
Projected range24–74
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.