Player profile
Lael Lockhart
Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 28.8 · Bats: S · Throws: L
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.
PB Rank#5,773
Prospect Score22.3
Median23
Performance Signal-23.1
Trend-1.8
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range-1.8
202330
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -23.1
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 18
Latest recorded 23
2026-10-04 · Median 23
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 23 |
| 2026-10-03 | 23 |
| 2026-09-30 | 23 |
| 2026-09-29 | 23 |
| 2026-09-25 | 23 |
| 2026-09-24 | 23 |
| 2026-09-22 | 23 |
| 2026-09-21 | 23 |
| 2026-09-19 | 23 |
| 2026-09-18 | 23 |
| 2026-09-17 | 23 |
| 2026-09-16 | 23 |
| 2026-09-15 | 23 |
| 2026-09-14 | 23.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 23 |
| 2026-09-06 | 16.4 |
| 2026-09-05 | 16.4 |
| 2026-09-03 | 16.4 |
| 2026-09-02 | 16.4 |
| 2026-09-01 | 16.4 |
| 2026-08-28 | 16.4 |
| 2026-08-27 | 16.4 |
| 2026-08-25 | 16.7 |
| 2026-08-23 | 16.7 |
| 2026-08-22 | 17 |
| 2026-08-20 | 17 |
| 2026-08-19 | 18 |
| 2026-08-18 | 18 |
| 2026-08-17 | 18 |
| 2026-08-16 | 18 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Declining
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
60
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
28
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.