Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Lan-Hong Su

SD · Single-A · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score67.4#274 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Miss ability11.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance20.1% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management1.5 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider55
Curveball55
Changeup45
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh89How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection52.4
Projected Range28–77
Arrival Probability7%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 63
68 62.5 57 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.6 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 64 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0563
2026-10-0463
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
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2026-09-2563
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2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1864
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2026-09-1564
2026-09-1463.6
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0361
2026-09-0261