Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Leo Balcazar

CIN · AAA · SS

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#213
Prospect Score70
Median65
Performance54
Trend+0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Power 40; game-power evidence sits near the 27th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.125

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-3.8 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 46
Game Power-6.5 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 27

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 65
75 63.5 52 2026-06-04 · Median 61 2026-06-05 · Median 60 2026-06-06 · Median 59 2026-06-07 · Median 58 2026-06-08 · Median 58 2026-06-09 · Median 58 2026-06-10 · Median 59 2026-06-11 · Median 60 2026-06-12 · Median 60 2026-06-13 · Median 60 2026-06-14 · Median 61 2026-06-15 · Median 60 2026-06-16 · Median 60 2026-06-17 · Median 60 2026-06-18 · Median 60 2026-06-19 · Median 60 2026-06-20 · Median 60 2026-06-21 · Median 59 2026-06-22 · Median 59 2026-06-23 · Median 59 2026-06-24 · Median 59 2026-06-25 · Median 59 2026-06-26 · Median 58 2026-06-28 · Median 57 2026-06-29 · Median 57 2026-06-30 · Median 57 2026-07-01 · Median 57 2026-07-03 · Median 57 2026-07-05 · Median 58 2026-07-07 · Median 57 2026-07-09 · Median 56 2026-07-11 · Median 57 2026-07-12 · Median 57 2026-07-14 · Median 57 2026-07-16 · Median 57 2026-07-21 · Median 57 2026-07-22 · Median 56 2026-07-23 · Median 57 2026-07-24 · Median 56 2026-07-25 · Median 57 2026-07-26 · Median 57 2026-07-27 · Median 57 2026-07-28 · Median 57 2026-07-29 · Median 57 2026-07-30 · Median 57 2026-07-31 · Median 57 2026-08-01 · Median 57 2026-08-03 · Median 57 2026-08-05 · Median 58 2026-08-07 · Median 58 2026-08-08 · Median 57 2026-08-09 · Median 57 2026-08-10 · Median 57 2026-08-11 · Median 57 2026-08-13 · Median 56 2026-08-14 · Median 57 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 57 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 69 2026-08-22 · Median 69 2026-08-23 · Median 70.5 2026-08-25 · Median 70.5 2026-08-27 · Median 68 2026-08-28 · Median 67 2026-09-01 · Median 69 2026-09-02 · Median 68 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 68 2026-09-06 · Median 68 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 66.4 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 66 2026-09-18 · Median 66 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2565
2026-09-2465
2026-09-2265
2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1866
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2026-08-2570.5
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2026-08-1957
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2026-06-0958
2026-06-0858
2026-06-0758
2026-06-0659
2026-06-0560
2026-06-0461

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.125

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.364

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 19.0%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G139
PA594
AVG.239
OBP.329
SLG.364
OPS.693
HR12
SB3
BB%10.9%
K%19.0%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+0.1%
616570
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 54

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch70 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence95
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.2
Historical 80% error band23–58
MLB arrival in 3 years70%
Productive MLB role in 3 years10%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels277010000020.143.143.143.286
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels2179687174021111111.250.354.397.751
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Louisville BatsAAA3915113214319121719251.235.331.364.695
2026Chattanooga LookoutsAA1004433905194161105246882.241.328.364.692
20262 teams · TotalAll levels139594522651252521269651133.239.329.364.693
2025Chattanooga LookoutsAA5121718629493032023244.263.349.328.677
2025Dayton DragonsHigh-A75343305408017193729514.262.333.413.746
20252 teams · TotalAll levels12656049169129201125752758.263.339.381.720
2024Dayton DragonsHigh-A10241039033103132647141009.264.295.354.649
2023Daytona TortugasSingle-A18826811225111113222.324.427.471.897
2022ACL RedsACL42168143254662426184213.322.411.476.886
2021DSL RedsDSL2913011226295461513298.259.346.536.882

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Cincinnati Reds profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.