Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Leonel Sequera

STL · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,861
Score48.6
Baseline47
Signal-16.2
Trend-0.6
Floor39
Baseline47
Ceiling55
Confidence62 Risk22 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Leonel Sequera

STL · High-A · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,861
Prospect Score48.6
Median47
Performance Signal-16.2
Trend-0.6

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.6
394755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 47
54 48.5 43 2026-08-11 · Median 49 2026-08-13 · Median 49 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 49.1 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.6 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.6
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2049.1
2026-08-1949
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1449
2026-08-1349
2026-08-1149

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.6
394755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 22
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.3
Projected range18–68
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.