Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Liam Paddack

CWS · AA · P

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#754
Prospect Score59.3
Median57
Performance Signal+4.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505763
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 57
62 56 50 2026-08-14 · Median 54 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 57 2026-08-23 · Median 56.3 2026-08-25 · Median 56.3 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 57 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1457
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2858
2026-08-2758
2026-08-2556.3
2026-08-2356.3
2026-08-2257
2026-08-2057
2026-08-1957
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654
2026-08-1454

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505763
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.5
Projected range22–71
Arrival probability49%
Productive role probability9%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.