Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Lisbel Diaz

SF · AA · CF · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score67.3#281 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor59Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Power.224 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact18.2% KStrong contact signal
Approach4.2% BBAggressive approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit45
Power45
Run55
Field55
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh9Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.8
Projected Range23–57
Arrival Probability84%
Productive Role Probability20%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelAA
PositionCF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 70 Latest recorded 63
74 66.5 59 2026-09-02 · Median 70 2026-09-03 · Median 70 2026-09-05 · Median 70 2026-09-06 · Median 70 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 63 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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