Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Logan Mercado

ARI · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,668
Score50.2
Baseline48
Signal-14.1
Trend-0.6
Floor41
Baseline48
Ceiling55
Confidence61 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Logan Mercado

ARI · AA · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 25.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,668
Prospect Score50.2
Median48
Performance Signal-14.1
Trend-0.6

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.6
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 48
53 44 35 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 48 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 39.6 2026-08-25 · Median 39.6 2026-08-27 · Median 39 2026-08-28 · Median 39 2026-09-01 · Median 39 2026-09-02 · Median 39 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.3 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.3
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0639
2026-09-0539
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0239
2026-09-0139
2026-08-2839
2026-08-2739
2026-08-2539.6
2026-08-2339.6
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1748
2026-08-1648

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.6
414855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.2
Projected range22–71
Arrival probability27%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.