Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Lorenzo Meola

SF · Single-A · SS · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score54.6#1,139 Overall
Baseline53Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor48Lower-end outcome
Baseline53Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Power.200 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact24.3% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.353 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit45
Power45
Run55
Field60
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh87How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.4
Projected Range21–52
Arrival Probability17%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 53
58 53.5 49 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.2 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-10-05 · Median 53 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0553
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1453.2
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253