Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Lucas Gordon

CWS · AA · P · Age 25

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score47.5#2,012 Overall
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Ceiling53High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.4 K/9Near expected range
Command4.6 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.5 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.4
Projected Range18–63
Arrival Probability25%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago White Sox
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 46
51 46.5 42 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.2 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-10-05 · Median 46 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0546
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1446.2
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247