Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Lucas Mahlstedt

LAA · AA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score66.5#313 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance64Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
64Solid current performance
Miss ability10.5 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance20.0% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management0.5 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection54.0
Projected Range29–79
Arrival Probability31%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationLos Angeles Angels
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 63
67 62.5 58 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.9 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0563
2026-10-0463
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
2026-09-2963
2026-09-2563
2026-09-2463
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
2026-09-1663
2026-09-1563
2026-09-1462.9
2026-09-0963
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262