Player profile
Luis Arias
Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#4,964
Prospect Score27.6
Median30
Performance Signal-22.1
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
203040
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -22.1
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 30
Latest recorded 30
2026-10-04 · Median 30
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 30 |
| 2026-10-03 | 30 |
| 2026-09-30 | 30 |
| 2026-09-29 | 30 |
| 2026-09-25 | 30 |
| 2026-09-24 | 30 |
| 2026-09-22 | 30 |
| 2026-09-21 | 30 |
| 2026-09-19 | 30 |
| 2026-09-18 | 30 |
| 2026-09-17 | 30 |
| 2026-09-16 | 30 |
| 2026-09-15 | 30 |
| 2026-09-14 | 30.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 30 |
| 2026-09-06 | 30 |
| 2026-09-05 | 30 |
| 2026-09-03 | 30 |
| 2026-09-02 | 30 |
| 2026-09-01 | 30 |
| 2026-08-28 | 30 |
| 2026-08-27 | 30 |
| 2026-08-25 | 30 |
| 2026-08-23 | 30 |
| 2026-08-22 | 30 |
| 2026-08-20 | 30 |
| 2026-08-19 | 30 |
| 2026-08-18 | 30 |
| 2026-08-17 | 30 |
| 2026-08-16 | 30 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
50
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
48
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.