Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Luis Arias

WSH · FCL · 3B

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 21.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#5,000
Prospect Score28
Median30
Performance26
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
203040
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 26

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 27 Latest recorded 30
37 30 23 2026-06-04 · Median 27 2026-06-05 · Median 27 2026-06-06 · Median 27 2026-06-07 · Median 27 2026-06-08 · Median 27 2026-06-09 · Median 27 2026-06-10 · Median 27 2026-06-11 · Median 30 2026-06-12 · Median 30 2026-06-13 · Median 30 2026-06-14 · Median 30 2026-06-15 · Median 30 2026-06-16 · Median 30 2026-06-17 · Median 30 2026-06-18 · Median 30 2026-06-19 · Median 30 2026-06-20 · Median 30 2026-06-21 · Median 30 2026-06-22 · Median 30 2026-06-23 · Median 30 2026-06-24 · Median 30 2026-06-25 · Median 30 2026-06-26 · Median 30 2026-06-28 · Median 30 2026-06-29 · Median 30 2026-06-30 · Median 30 2026-07-01 · Median 30 2026-07-03 · Median 32 2026-07-05 · Median 33 2026-07-07 · Median 33 2026-07-09 · Median 32 2026-07-11 · Median 32 2026-07-12 · Median 32 2026-07-14 · Median 32 2026-07-16 · Median 32 2026-07-21 · Median 32 2026-07-22 · Median 32 2026-07-23 · Median 31 2026-07-24 · Median 30 2026-07-25 · Median 30 2026-07-26 · Median 30 2026-07-27 · Median 30 2026-07-28 · Median 30 2026-07-29 · Median 30 2026-07-30 · Median 30 2026-07-31 · Median 30 2026-08-01 · Median 30 2026-08-03 · Median 30 2026-08-05 · Median 30 2026-08-07 · Median 30 2026-08-08 · Median 30 2026-08-09 · Median 30 2026-08-10 · Median 30 2026-08-11 · Median 30 2026-08-13 · Median 30 2026-08-14 · Median 30 2026-08-16 · Median 30 2026-08-17 · Median 30 2026-08-18 · Median 30 2026-08-19 · Median 30 2026-08-20 · Median 30 2026-08-22 · Median 30 2026-08-23 · Median 30 2026-08-25 · Median 30 2026-08-27 · Median 30 2026-08-28 · Median 30 2026-09-01 · Median 30 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 30 2026-09-14 · Median 30.2 2026-09-15 · Median 30 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1730
2026-09-1630
2026-09-1530
2026-09-1430.2
2026-09-0930
2026-09-0630
2026-09-0530
2026-09-0330
2026-09-0230
2026-09-0130
2026-08-2830
2026-08-2730
2026-08-2530
2026-08-2330
2026-08-2230
2026-08-2030
2026-08-1930
2026-08-1830
2026-08-1730
2026-08-1630
2026-08-1430
2026-08-1330
2026-08-1130
2026-08-1030
2026-08-0930
2026-08-0830
2026-08-0730
2026-08-0530
2026-08-0330
2026-08-0130
2026-07-3130
2026-07-3030
2026-07-2930
2026-07-2830
2026-07-2730
2026-07-2630
2026-07-2530
2026-07-2430
2026-07-2331
2026-07-2232
2026-07-2132
2026-07-1632
2026-07-1432
2026-07-1232
2026-07-1132
2026-07-0932
2026-07-0733
2026-07-0533
2026-07-0332
2026-07-0130
2026-06-3030
2026-06-2930
2026-06-2830
2026-06-2630
2026-06-2530
2026-06-2430
2026-06-2330
2026-06-2230
2026-06-2130
2026-06-2030
2026-06-1930
2026-06-1830
2026-06-1730
2026-06-1630
2026-06-1530
2026-06-1430
2026-06-1330
2026-06-1230
2026-06-1130
2026-06-1027
2026-06-0927
2026-06-0827
2026-06-0727
2026-06-0627
2026-06-0527
2026-06-0427

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G48
PA146
AVG.233
OBP.315
SLG.349
OPS.664
HR4
SB1
BB%9.6%
K%34.9%

FCL Nationals · FCL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
203040
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 26

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 48
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence50
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production23.0
Historical 80% error band5–41
MLB arrival in 3 years0%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026FCL NationalsFCL4814612917303042314511.233.315.349.664
2025FCL NationalsFCL3413211619345021213284.293.371.388.759
2024FCL NationalsFCL351139912196001513275.192.286.253.538
2023DSL NationalsDSL254121000100.500.600.7501.350

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Washington Nationals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.