Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Luis Carrasco

ARI · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,498
Score30.6
Baseline33
Signal+0.5
Trend0.0
Floor21
Baseline33
Ceiling52
Confidence38 Risk69 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Luis Carrasco

ARI · DSL · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 21.7 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,498
Prospect Score30.6
Median33
Performance Signal+0.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
213352
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 33
37 32.5 28 2026-08-16 · Median 33 2026-08-17 · Median 33 2026-08-18 · Median 33 2026-08-19 · Median 33 2026-08-20 · Median 33 2026-08-22 · Median 33 2026-08-23 · Median 32.6 2026-08-25 · Median 32.6 2026-08-27 · Median 33 2026-08-28 · Median 33 2026-09-01 · Median 33 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 33 2026-09-14 · Median 33 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 33 2026-09-22 · Median 33 2026-09-24 · Median 33 2026-09-25 · Median 33 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 33 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 33

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0433
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
2026-09-2933
2026-09-2533
2026-09-2433
2026-09-2233
2026-09-2133
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1433
2026-09-0933
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0233
2026-09-0133
2026-08-2833
2026-08-2733
2026-08-2532.6
2026-08-2332.6
2026-08-2233
2026-08-2033
2026-08-1933
2026-08-1833
2026-08-1733
2026-08-1633

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 69
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
213352
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.5

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 69
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence38
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.1
Projected range21–71
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.