Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Luis De Leon

HOU · Single-A · C · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score70.2#198 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance64Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor60Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
64Solid current performance
Offensive impact.897 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact12.8% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.431 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit55
Power45
Run40
Field50
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh87How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.0
Projected Range24–60
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 72 Latest recorded 65
76 68 60 2026-09-02 · Median 72 2026-09-03 · Median 72 2026-09-05 · Median 72 2026-09-06 · Median 72 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 64.7 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
2026-10-0365
2026-09-3065
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2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
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2026-09-1464.7
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0672
2026-09-0572
2026-09-0372
2026-09-0272